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Robbie Marriage's avatar

This seems a bit ambitious. Gardner has had one really good season in the NFL, in 2020, where he posted a fantastic 4.3 CPOE. If you describe that as 'not a good season,' I'm not all that sure you like him very much.

Gardner in 2023 almost exactly replicated his stats from 2019 (about 0 EPA/Play, -3.3 CPOE), ignoring that he ever got better in the middle. 2023 was a down year at a time when he really really didn't need one. It could've been his chance to break out for real and become a starter teams wanted, but the accuracy was gone. You did some digging into where it went, but that can't explain it all. The really good LV offence should help this some. They carried Aidan O'Connell to an okay season last year, but there's only so far your surrounding players can take you.

If I were a fan, I would've liked my team to target all of Russell Wilson, Jacoby Brissett and Sam Darnold over him, in addition to being players in the Justin Fields market, and maybe also putting in some calls on Jake Browning. All of these players have been above average in terms of accuracy at least once in the last three years. Gardner has not. With all the good options gone, I suspect Vegas was forced to settle for Gardner Minshew. While this is an extremely good sixth option, I'm not sure if 'the most underrated QB in the NFL' is an appropriate label. I'd likely go Sam or Jacoby for that title.

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